I started to think about something after
reading Salazar’s
post ‘Do tariffs work?’
In 1978, Friedman claimed that lower the tariffs
toward Japan could benefit America. However, we saw something worse happened to
Japan. Besides the economical issues U.S government concerned about, I think they also wanted to weaken Japanese overall power.
Japan's inexpensive and good quality goods
earned a lot profit from the international trade. And they acted arrogant in
the world to buy assets, such as buying a symbol of the U.S. economy - the
Rockefeller Center. US government already felt the threat. To reverse this situation, the United States
and other Western countries asked Japan to appreciate their currency. The
Japanese had to promise because the U.S. military presence and political penetration.So
they signed Plaza Accord. Japanese economy was severely destroyed, the
so-called Lost Decade.
This is a really great historical example
for China. Japanese recession was because Yen appreciated from 250 to U.S. $ 1 into
$ 1.00 about 120. A direct result was Japan's exports greatly reduced while imports
surged. However, some
experts argue that the sharp appreciation of the yen provides Japanese a good
opportunity for large-scale expansion overseas, promote industrial
restructuring, and ultimately contribute to the healthy development of the Japanese
economy.
But this fortunately consequence can never
happen to China. Chinese make livings by manufactory. The Industrial restructuring is not that
easy due to the current technology standard in
China(As we learned in Chapter 5 the effective R&D scientists ratio in China was just 7% ) Appreciation makes countless Chinese workers lose their jobs and may
lead to turmoil. As a result,Chinese government will try its best to keep the currency low.